English Premier League odds, September 25 picks: Expert reveals best bets for Chelsea vs. Manchester City

It’s a clash of English Premier League title contenders on Saturday when Chelsea hosts defending champion Manchester City at Stamford Bridge in London. The Blues (4-1-0) have won the last three meetings between the clubs, including a 1-0 victory in the UEFA Champions League Final in May. The Citizens (3-1-1) won the Premier League title easily last season, topping second-place Manchester United by 12 points. Meanwhile, Chelsea barely hung on to the fourth spot in the table, losing to Aston Villa on the final day but getting rescued when Tottenham beat fifth-place Leicester City. 

Kickoff is set for 7:30 a.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Man City as the slight +165 favorite (risk $100 to win $165), while Chelsea is the +170 underdog in the latest Chelsea vs. Manchester City odds. A draw is priced at +230, and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you lock in any Manchester City vs. Chelsea picks, make sure you check out the English Premier League predictions from esteemed European soccer insider Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have hauled in stunning profits. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has taken a close look at Chelsea vs. Manchester City from every possible angle. You can visit SportsLine now to see his expert EPL picks and predictions. Here are several EPL odds and betting lines for Manchester City vs. Chelsea:

  • Chelsea vs. Manchester City spread: Man City -0.5 
  • Chelsea vs. Manchester City over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Chelsea vs. Manchester City money line: Chelsea +170, Man City +165, Draw +230  
  • CHEL: Chelsea’s only goal conceded was a penalty in first-half added time vs. Liverpool 
  • MC: Just one of its 11 goals, and the only one allowed, came on the road

Why you should back Manchester City

The Citizens were clearly the class of the league last season, and they have been impressive since a hiccup in a season-opening loss to Tottenham. They lost that match 1-0 and have not conceded a goal while scoring 11 in their next four league games. They will be eager to atone for a scoreless draw with Southampton last weekend, when they held 64 percent possession and had 16 shots but put just one on target. Kevin De Bruyne, widely considered the world’s best midfielder, just returned from injury and posted six goals and had 12 assists last season.

Man City is 5-0-3 in the past eight league matchups with Chelsea, and it has the talent to spread the field. Nine players have league goals, with Ferran Torres leading the way with two. Phil Foden returned from injury to score in a 6-1 League Cup win against Wycombe on Tuesday, with Torres and De Bruyne also getting on the board. The defense is banged up, but Ruben Dias and Kyle Walker will hold the line in front of Ederson, who has four clean sheets after posting a league-best 19 last year.             

Why you should back Chelsea

The Blues have been tough to crack since Thomas Tuchel took over as manager and tightened up the defensive tactics in late January. Chelsea has 15 clean sheets in the 29 league matches since and has outscored opponents 12-1 this season. Goalkeeper Edouard Mendy hopes to be back from injury and is protected by a fierce back line that is led by Thiago Silva and features Antonio Rudiger, Cesar Azpilicueta and Andreas Christensen. Mendy has 16 saves and three clean sheets, and Kepa Arrizabalaga shut out Tottenham in his place in a 3-0 victory last week. 

Chelsea has become known for its defense, but it has plenty of attacking talent as well. Romelu Lukaku was added to a team that already included German stars Timo Werner and Kai Havertz. Lukaku has three goals in four matches after scoring 24 and adding 11 assists in Italy’s Serie A with Inter Milan last year. Mason Mount, Jorginho and N’Golo Kante all play critical roles in midfield, with Mount creating the second-most shots in the EPL in 2020-21.    

How to make EPL picks for Chelsea vs. Manchester City

Green has analyzed Saturday’s Manchester City vs. Chelsea match from every angle, and he is leaning under on the goal total. He also has revealed two confident best bets and has a complete analysis of this English Premier League match. He’s only sharing his Manchester City vs. Chelsea picks at SportsLine.

Who wins Chelsea vs. Manchester City? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Manchester City vs. Chelsea, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.

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