NHL

Penguins vs. Flyers odds: 2021 NHL picks, Opening Night predictions from advanced model

The Philadelphia Flyers won their first postseason series since 2012 last year, raising expectations as they prepare to host the Pittsburgh Penguins on Wednesday night at Wells Fargo Arena in the first game of 2021 NHL Opening Night. The Flyers begin the league’s condensed 56-game sprint with back-to-back matchups against the Penguins, who have won 12 of the last 19 meetings between the intrastate rivals. The puck will drop at 5:30 p.m. ET, marking Philadelphia’s first home game since COVID-19 shut down the league in mid-March.

Pittsburgh won back-to-back Stanley Cups in 2016 and 2017 but has plenty to prove after its shocking early ouster in last season’s playoffs. Philadelphia is the -115 favorite on the money line in the latest Penguins vs. Flyers odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total goals scored is set at six. Before making any Flyers vs. Penguins picks, check out the NHL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, taking into account factors like current form, individual matchups, injuries and short- and long-term trends when making NHL picks. The model seeks the best values on the money line, puck line and total.

Now, the model has set its sights on Penguins vs. Flyers. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest NHL odds from William Hill and trends for Flyers vs. Penguins: 

  • Flyers vs. Penguins money line: Flyers -115, Penguins +100
  • Flyers vs. Penguins puck line: Flyers -1.5
  • Flyers vs. Penguins over-under: 6 goals
  • PHI: G Carter Hart posted a 9-1-1 record against division opponents last season.
  • PIT: G Tristan Jarry allowed nine goals in splitting two starts vs. Flyers last season.

Latest Odds:

Philadelphia Flyers
-1.5

Why you should back the Flyers

Philadelphia was an NHL-best 25-6-4 at home last season, establishing league highs in victories and points (54). The biggest reason for that success was the stellar play of 22-year-old Carter Hart, the youngest goaltender to make at least 20 starts last season. He compiled a 24-13-3 record and 2.42 goals-against average overall last season, but posted a staggering 20-3-2 mark, 1.63 GAA and .943 save percentage at Wells Fargo Arena.

The Flyers labored to score in last season’s playoffs, producing only 27 goals in 13 games. The return of Swedish forward Oskar Lindblom should provide both an inspirational and offensive boost after he missed the majority of last season while undergoing surgery and treatment for bone cancer. Lindblom, who led the team in goals with 11 at the time of his diagnosis, is expected to skate on the top line with Sean Couturier and Travis Konecny.

Why you should back the Penguins

Sidney Crosby is on the short list in the conversation of the world’s best player and he has made a habit of torching Philadelphia since the Penguins selected him with the top overall draft pick in 2005. The superstar captain has pumped in 43 goals — his most against any opponent — and collected 62 assists for 105 points in only 70 games vs. the Flyers. He was limited to 41 games due to injury last season but notched six points in three matchups against Philly.

Crosby, who acknowledged his team will be “highly motivated” due to a stunning four-game loss to the 12th-seeded Montreal Canadiens in last season’s playoffs, has plenty of help on the offensive end. Fellow center Evgeni Malkin missed 27 games last season but still led the Penguins in points (74) and assists (49) while finishing second to Bryan Rust with 25 goals. Malkin also has been a nemesis for the Flyers with 73 points (28 goals, 45 assists) in 58 games.

How to make Penguins vs. Flyers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with the simulations only giving two players more than a 40 percent of scoring a goal. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Flyers vs. Penguins? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Flyers vs. Penguins money line to jump on Wednesday, all from the advanced model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times.



 

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