Mavericks vs. Warriors prediction, odds: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 1 best bets from model on 87-59 run

The Golden State Warriors host the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals on Wednesday night. The Warriors defeated the Denver Nuggets and Memphis Grizzlies on their way to the conference finals. On the flip side, the Mavericks beat the Utah Jazz and the Phoenix Suns to advance. Golden State was won eight straight games at home, while Dallas is 4-1 in its last five games overall.  

Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET at the Chase Center. Golden State is favored by five points in the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 214.5. Before locking in any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the conference finals round of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Warriors, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Mavericks:

  • Mavericks vs. Warriors spread: Golden State -5
  • Mavericks vs. Warriors over-under: 214.5 points
  • Mavericks vs. Warriors money line: Golden State -225, Dallas +185
  • Mavericks vs. Warriors tickets:  See tickets at StubHub
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on two days’ rest
  • GS: The Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Stephen Curry is an offensive wizard. Curry is an elite and pure shooter from anywhere on the floor with a lightning-quick release. The eight-time All-Star is a highly creative passer with terrific dribbling skills. Curry is averaging a team-best 26.9 points with 4.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. He dropped 25-plus points in four matchups in the last series. 

Guard Klay Thompson is another marksman on the perimeter for Golden State. Thompson is a gifted bucket with the talent to score in bunches. The five-time All-Star is an elite 3-point shooter who uses his size to shoot right over defenders. The Washington State product is logging 20.4 points and 4.5 rebounds, while shooting 41 percent from downtown. 

Why the Mavericks can cover

Guard Luka Doncic’s basketball instincts and competitiveness are off the charts. Doncic brings small-forward size to the guard position with elite playmaking and scoring ability. The three-time All-Star can be unstoppable in his one-on-one matchups. He is leading the team in scoring (31.5), rebounds (10.1), assists (6.6), and steals (1.9). Doncic recorded five straight double-doubles in the last series against the Phoenix Suns. 

Guard Spencer Dinwiddie is a smart and efficient distributor with the ability to constantly create his own offense. The Colorado product also brings fantastic height and length to the guard position. Dinwiddie sees the court exceptionally well and is patient in setting his teammates up. He’s averaging 13.2 points and 3.5 assists per game. In the Game 7 win over the Suns, he racked up 30 points and went 5-for-7 from long range. 

How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 215 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in nearly 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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