Yankees vs. Rangers prediction, odds, line: 2022 MLB picks, Tuesday, Oct. 4 best bets from proven model

The New York Yankees will look to continue their recent domination over the Texas Rangers on Tuesday when they meet in the first game of a doubleheader at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Yankees (98-61) have won eight of the past nine meetings against the Rangers (66-93), including two of three in 2022. New York has won 18 of the past 26 meetings with Texas. The Rangers have lost nine of 10, including six in a row. Aaron Judge needs one more home run to surpass the team and American League record of 61 home runs, which is held by Roger Maris. 

Tuesday’s first game is slated to begin at 2:05 p.m. ET.  New York is the slight -115 favorite (risk $115 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Yankees vs. Rangers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 7. Before making any Rangers vs. Yankees picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it entered the penultimate week of the regular season on a 14-3 run on top-rated money-line MLB picks, returning almost $900 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Yankees vs. Rangers and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s MLB picks. Here are several MLB odds and trends for Rangers vs. Yankees:

  • Yankees vs. Rangers money line: New York -115, Texas -105
  • Yankees vs. Rangers over/under: 7 runs
  • Yankees vs. Rangers run line: New York -1.5 (+150)
  • NYY: The Yankees are 40-16 in their last 56 games against a team with a losing record
  • TEX: The under is 5-1 in the Rangers’ last six games overall
  • Yankees vs. Rangers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees

Why you should back the Yankees

New York, which will start righty Jameson Taillon (14-5, 3.83 ERA), has been on a tear, winning three of its last four series and seven of their last nine. Shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa, a former Ranger, is hitting .262 with four homers, 48 RBI and 66 runs scored. He has hits in seven of his last nine games. Kiner-Falefa has recorded four homers and 37 RBI against right-handed pitching, and has been a nuisance on the base paths with 20 stolen bases in 23 attempts vs. righties.

Several New York regulars will get the day off as the Yankees look ahead to the 2022 MLB playoffs, where they’ve locked in a bye and the No. 2 seed. But Judge remains in the lineup and he’ll bat first as the designated hitter as he continues to pursue history. Judge hit home run No. 61 last Wednesday at Toronto, and while he’s only recorded a couple hits since that point, he’s been getting on base regularly as teams have been pitching around him in some circumstances. 

Why you should back the Rangers

With nothing left to play for, Texas will be looking to finish the season on a high note. Expected to take the hill for the Rangers will be right-hander Jon Gray (7-7, 3.93 ERA). Gray is looking for his first win since blanking the Miami Marlins 8-0 on July 21. He gave up a season-high six earned runs in his last start on Thursday in a 10-9 loss at Seattle. Prior to that game, he had not allowed more than three runs over his past four appearances, including zero in a no-decision against the Cleveland Guardians on Sept. 23.

Helping power the Texas offense is first baseman Nathaniel Lowe, who is batting .300 in 154 games played this season. He has 27 homers, 76 RBIs and 73 runs scored. He has hit safely in six of his past eight games. Coming into the series, Lowe had two doubles and two homers with four RBIs in 16 games against New York.

How to make Rangers vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.8 combined runs, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the MLB model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Yankees vs. Rangers? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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