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Republicans’ ‘red wave’ hopes fizzle, but no smooth sailing for Democrats as vote counting continues

Republicans made modest gains in United States midterm elections but Democrats performed better than expected, as control of the Senate hinged on three races that remained too close to call on Wednesday afternoon (local time)
The Georgia US Senate race between Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker will go to a 6 December runoff, Edison Research projected. That means it could be weeks until control of that chamber is known, unless Democrats hold off challengers in Nevada and Arizona.
Republicans picked up at least seven seats in the US House of Representatives, Edison Research projected. That would be two more than needed to wrest control of the chamber from Democrats, though with 45 races still uncalled, the Republican margin could go up or down.
Even a slim majority in the House would let Republicans hem in Democratic President Joe Biden during his next two years in office, blocking legislation and launching potentially politically damaging investigations.
But they appeared to be far short of the sweeping “red wave” victory they had sought, as Democrats the kind of heavy midterm defeat that often plagues sitting presidents of either party.

Guests cheer for House Minority Leader, Republican Kevin McCarthy, during an election night party at The Westin Washington hotel in Washington, D.C. Credit: Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Imag

The results appeared to show voters punishing Mr Biden for presiding over an economy hit by steep inflation, while also lashing out against Republican efforts to ban abortion.

Poor performances by some candidates backed by Donald Trump — including Mr Walker — indicated exhaustion with the kind of chaos fomented by the former Republican president, raising questions about the viability of his possible run for the White House in 2024.
“I think his ego is just too big to handle,” said Yvonne Langdon, 75, as she cast her ballot for Republican candidates in Michigan on Tuesday.
Mr Biden had framed Tuesday’s election as a test of US democracy at a time when hundreds of Republican candidates embraced Mr Trump’s false claims that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him.

A number of election deniers who backed Mr Trump’s claims were elected to office on Tuesday, but fears of violence or other major disruptions by far-right poll watchers at voting stations did not materialise.

Democrats win Pennsylvania

Control of the Senate would give Republicans the power to block Mr Biden’s nominees for judicial and administrative posts. But in a critical win for Democrats, John Fetterman flipped a Republican-held US Senate seat in Pennsylvania, beating retired celebrity surgeon Mehmet Oz and bolstering his party’s chances of holding the chamber.
The White House seized on the lighter-than-expected losses. “Never underestimate how much Team Biden is underestimated,” White House Chief of Staff Ron Klain said on Twitter.
But Democrats also had their share of embarrassments, as New York Representative Sean Patrick Maloney, the chairman of the committee charged with reelecting House Democrats, conceded he had lost his own race.

If the Republicans do take control of Congress, they plan to seek cost savings in the Social Security and Medicare safety-net programs and make permanent tax cuts enacted in 2017 that are due to expire.

A man standing at a podium in front of microphones.

But in a critical win for Democrats, John Fetterman (pictured) flipped a Republican-held US Senate seat in Pennsylvania Source: Getty, AFP / Angela Weiss

Republicans also could engineer a showdown over the debt ceiling to extract major spending cuts, and could pare back aid to Ukraine.

Only 26 of the 53 most competitive races, based on a Reuters analysis of the leading nonpartisan forecasters, had been decided as of Wednesday morning, raising the prospect that the final outcome may not be known for some time. Democrats won 20 of those 26 contests.
The party that occupies the White House almost always loses seats in elections midway through a president’s first four-year term, and Mr Biden has struggled with low public approval.

“In this climate we should have done better,” said Rob Jesmer, a former head of the Republicans’ Senate campaign arm.

Mixed day for Trump

Mr Trump, who took an active role in recruiting Republican candidates for Congress, had mixed results.
He notched a victory in Ohio, where “Hillbilly Elegy” author J.D. Vance won a Senate seat to keep it in Republican hands. But Mr Oz lost his Pennsylvania Senate race and Doug Mastriano, another Trump ally, was handily defeated in the state’s governor’s race.

Trump allies also were struggling in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada Senate races, where ballots were still being counted.

A mean wearing a suit and tie who is speaking.

Former US president Donald Trump, who took an active role in recruiting Republican candidates for Congress, had mixed results. Source: Getty / The Washington Post

Meanwhile Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who could challenge Trump in 2024, won re-election by nearly 20 percentage points, Edison projected.

Thirty-five Senate seats, all 435 House seats and three dozen governors’ races were on the ballot.
The primary issue weighing on Democrats was stubbornly high annual inflation, which at 8.2 per cent stands at the highest rate in 40 years.

Voters in California, Michigan and Vermont approved referendums enshrining abortion rights in their state constitutions. Deeply conservative Kentucky looked poised to reject a constitutional amendment that would have declared there was no right to abortion.

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