NBA

Wizards vs. Grizzlies odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, March 2 predictions from model on 85-52 roll

The Washington Wizards host the Memphis Grizzlies in a cross-conference battle on Tuesday evening. Washington is just 13-19 on the year, but the Wizards are an impressive 7-2 in their last nine contests. Memphis is 15-15 this season after winning two of the last three games. The Grizzlies are 8-5 on the road, with the Wizards sitting at 6-9 in home tilts in 2020-21.

Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET at Capital One Arena. William Hill Sportsbook lists Memphis as a one-point road favorite. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 235.5 in the latest Wizards vs. Grizzlies odds. Before making any Grizzlies vs. Wizards picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up nearly $8,500 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 11 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-52 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Wizards vs. Grizzlies. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Wizards:

  • Grizzlies vs. Wizards spread: Grizzlies -1
  • Grizzlies vs. Wizards over-under: 235.5 points
  • Grizzlies vs. Wizards money line: Wizards -105, Grizzlies -115
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • WASH: The Wizards are 8-1 against the spread in the last nine games

Latest Odds:

Washington Wizards
+1

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis is led by a dynamic lead guard in Ja Morant. The 2019-20 NBA Rookie of the Year is averaging 18.4 points and 7.7 assists per game this season, helping to buoy the Grizzlies’ offense. He is flanked by Jonas Valanciunas, who leads the team in rebounding (11.1 per game) and ranks second in scoring at 15.8 points per contest. Memphis can also be aggressive against a shaky Washington defense, as the Wizards allow nearly 1.14 points per possession this season. 

The Grizzlies also lead the NBA in turnover creation, forcing a giveaway on 16.5 percent of possessions, and Memphis leads the league in steals at 9.9 per game. That aggressive defense helps to key Memphis to the No. 8 mark in overall defensive rating, giving up fewer than 1.1 points per possession.

Why the Wizards can cover

Washington’s offense is explosive at times, headlined by Bradley Beal and Russell Westbrook. Beal leads the NBA in scoring, averaging 33.2 points per game, and Westbrook contributes nearly a triple-double each night, putting up 19.9 points, 9.9 rebounds and 9.6 assists per contest. As a team, the Wizards are No. 2 in the NBA in free throw creation, with above-average marks in taking care of the ball with a 13.5 percent turnover rate. 

Defensively, Washington is also above-average in turnover creation rate (14.4 percent), and the Wizards are No. 7 in the league in protecting the paint. Washington’s best attribute may be transition defense, however, as the Wizards are No. 4 in the NBA in allowing only 10.5 fast break points per game. Memphis also struggles to get to the free throw line (second-worst in the NBA), and the Grizzlies are below-average in both offensive efficiency and shooting efficiency.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Wizards picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting both teams to combine for 247 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Wizards? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on an 85-52 roll on NBA picks.



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