NBA

Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Jan. 27 predictions from model on 69-40 roll

The Golden State Warriors host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night in a Western Conference battle. The same two teams faced off on Monday in San Francisco, with the Warriors prevailing by a 22-point margin. Golden State is 9-8 this season, with Minnesota struggling to a 4-12 mark through 16 games. D’Angelo Russell (quad) is questionable to play for Minnesota, with Karl-Anthony Towns (protocols) and Jarrett Culver (ankle) ruled out.

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Warriors as nine-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 228.5 in the latest Timberwolves vs. Warriors odds. Before you make any Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 69-40 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Timberwolves vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Warriors vs. Timberwolves:

  • Wolves vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -9
  • Wolves vs. Warriors over-under: 228.5 points
  • Wolves vs. Warriors money line: Golden State -400, Minnesota +320
  • MIN: The Timberwolves are 2-5 against the spread in road games
  • GSW: The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread at home this season

Latest Odds:

Golden State Warriors
-8.5

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Without Towns in the fold, the Timberwolves are keyed by an offensive-minded backcourt. Russell is averaging 20.5 points and 5.5 assists per game to lead the team in the absence of their start center, and Malik Beasley adds 19.6 points and 4.9 rebounds per game. Minnesota also deploys the No. 1 overall pick, Anthony Edwards, who brings upside to the table as an athletic marvel. Minnesota is a solid offensive rebounding team, pulling down 27.4 percent of its own misses, and the Timberwolves are an above-average team in assist rate at 61.0 percent. 

Defensively, the Timberwolves can take solace against a bottom-10 offense in Golden State, with the Warriors scoring only 1.08 points per possession this season. The Warriors are also the NBA’s worst rebounding team on a percentage basis (47 percent), and Minnesota could make overall gains on the glass.

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors will have the best player on the floor on Wednesday in Stephen Curry. The former MVP is averaging 28.4 points, 6.0 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game this season, and Curry remains an every-play threat due to his prolific outside shooting. He is flanked by former Wolves forward Andrew Wiggins, averaging 17.8 points and 5.1 rebounds per contest, and Golden State owns top-five marks in assist rate and free throw rate offensively. The Warriors also take care of the ball, committing a turnover on only 13.8 percent of offensive possessions. 

On the other end, Draymond Green captains a defensive unit that is sixth-best in the NBA in effective field goal percentage allowed (51.6 percent) and in the top-10 in turnover creation, forcing a giveaway on 15.1 percent of possessions. The Timberwolves also struggle mightily on the offensive side without Towns, playing into Golden State’s hands. 

How to make Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 231 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Timberwolves? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Timberwolves vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.



 

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