Warriors vs. Heat odds, line: 2021 NBA picks, April 1 predictions from proven computer model

The Miami Heat will take on the Golden State Warriors at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday at AmericanAirlines Arena. The Heat are 24-24 overall and 12-12 at home, while Golden State is 23-24 overall and 9-15 on the road. The Heat won the first meeting of the season on Feb. 17, 120-112 in overtime. 

Miami is favored by three points in the latest Heat vs. Warriors odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 218. Before entering any Warriors vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned more than $8,800 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up more than $800 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 15 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 93-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Warriors vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Warriors spread: Heat -3
  • Heat vs. Warriors over-under: 218 points
  • Heat vs. Warriors money line: Miami -150, Golden State +130

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors

What you need to know about the Heat

Miami outlasted the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday, 92-87. Duncan Robinson (20 points) and Jimmy Butler (18 points) were the top scorers for Miami. Bam Adebayo had 16 points and eight rebounds. The Heat have won two straight games after losing six in a row. 

Miami has a 9-9 record vs. Western Conference teams this season. The Heat allow 40.1 points per game in the paint, lowest in the NBA. Robinson is fourth in the league with 163 three-pointers. Kendrick Nunn (ankle) missed Wednesday’s game. 

What you need to know about the Warriors

The Warriors beat the Chicago Bulls on Monday, 116-102 victory at home. Stephen Curry returned from a five-game layoff due to a tailbone injury and shot 6-for-14 from downtown and finished with 32 points, six assists and five rebounds. The Warriors ended a four-game losing streak with the win. Andrew Wiggins scored 21 points. 

Kelly Oubre Jr. double-doubled with 18 points and a game-high and season-high-tying 11 rebounds on Monday. Eric Paschall (wrist) is out for Thursday’s game. The Warriors lead the league in assists per game (27.6). 

How to make Warriors vs. Heat picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Warriors spread to jump on Thursday, all from the model that is on an incredible 93-59 roll.

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