NBA

Sixers vs. Nuggets odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Jan. 9 predictions from model on 65-36 roll

The Philadelphia 76ers are scheduled to host the Denver Nuggets in a matinee contest on Saturday. Philadelphia lost its last contest on the road in Brooklyn, though the Sixers are a perfect 5-0 at home this season. Denver is just 3-5 after an overtime loss to the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. There’s a lengthy injury and COVID-protocol list to consider in this matchup. Seth Curry (health and safety), Terrance Ferguson (personal) and Mike Scott (left knee contusion) are out for the 76ers, and Michael Porter Jr. (health and safety) is out for the Nuggets. Joel Embiid, Danny Green, Tobias Harris, Shake Milton, Vincent Poirier, Paul Reed and Matisse Thybulle are all listed as questionable for Philadelphia due to health and safety protocols. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. William Hill Sportsbook lists Denver as a five-point favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 222 in the latest Nuggets vs. Sixers odds. Before making any Sixers vs. Nuggets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 65-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. 76ers. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and betting trends for 76ers vs. Nuggets:

  • Nuggets vs. 76ers spread: Nuggets -5
  • Nuggets vs. 76ers over-under: 222 points
  • Nuggets vs. 76ers money line: Nuggets -200, 76ers +175
  • DEN: The Nuggets are 2-6 against the spread this season
  • PHIL: The 76ers are 3-2 against the spread in 2020-21 home games

Latest Odds:

Philadelphia 76ers
+5.5

Why the Nuggets can cover

Denver’s offense is electric, with Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray setting the table for a deep, balanced group. The Nuggets are a top-three team in offensive rating, scoring 114.7 points per 100 possessions, and Denver ranks in the top six in both effective field goal percentage (55.8 percent) and true shooting percentage (59.0 percent) this season. 

The Nuggets put pressure on the glass, grabbing 29.6 percent of their own missed shots, and Denver is above-average in both free throw rate and turnover rate. With Jokic’s wizardry, the Nuggets are also a top-five team in assist rate (64.3 percent), and they should be able to score effectively, especially against a Philadelphia squad that has several personnel questions for Saturday. 

Why the 76ers can cover 

The 76ers are an elite defensive team this season, allowing fewer than 1.04 points per possession. That overall efficiency includes a top-five mark in shooting efficiency allowed, and Philadelphia should also be able to score effectively against Denver. The 76ers have a 59.1 percent true shooting mark this season, top-five in the NBA, and they rank in the top ten with a 62.7 percent assist rate. Those marks, coupled with an above-average free throw rate, fuel a solid overall offense. 

From there, Denver’s defense is porous, including a bottom-three ranking in defensive rating, giving up 114.8 points per 100 possessions. The Nuggets are yielding a 56.3 percent effective field goal shooting mark to opponents, and Denver is a bottom-10 team in the NBA in free throw rate allowed to their opponents.

How to make 76ers vs. Nuggets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the simulations projecting 225 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. 76ers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Nuggets vs. 76ers spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.



 

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