Pelicans vs. Nets odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, April 7 predictions from model on 93-59 roll

The Brooklyn Nets look to build on an already impressive home record on Wednesday evening. The Nets are a blistering 21-6 at the Barclays Center this season, and the New Orleans Pelicans visit on Wednesday. New Orleans is on the second night of a back-to-back, while Brooklyn last played on Monday. Kevin Durant (hamstring) is officially listed as probable for the Nets after missing nearly two months. James Harden (hamstring) and Landry Shamet (ankle) are out for Brooklyn.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Brooklyn. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Nets as nine-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 233.5 in the latest Pelicans vs. Nets odds. Before you make any Nets vs. Pelicans picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned almost $8,900 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 16 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 93-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Pelicans vs. Nets. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Nets vs. Pelicans:

  • Pelicans vs. Nets spread: Nets -9
  • Pelicans vs. Nets over-under: 233.5 points
  • Pelicans vs. Nets money line: Brooklyn -400, New Orleans +320
  • NO: The Pelicans are 2-8 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • BKN: The Nets are 2-8 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Brooklyn Nets vs. New Orleans Pelicans

Why the Pelicans can cover

The Pelicans are a top-10 offensive team in the NBA, scoring more than 1.14 points per possession for the season. In contrast, Brooklyn is shaky on the defensive end, ranking 25th in the league in points allowed per possession (1.13). New Orleans is the league’s best offensive rebounding team, pulling down more than 30 percent of its own misses, and Brooklyn is a below-average rebounding team on both ends. 

Elsewhere on offense, Stan Van Gundy’s team ranks in the top 10 in overall shooting efficiency, with a top-five mark in free throw creation. The Nets also struggle to force turnovers, ranking second-worst in the NBA and generating a giveaway on only 12.4 percent of possessions. On the opposite end, the Pelicans will face a challenge with the high-flying Nets offense, but New Orleans does have some strengths. The Pelicans land in the top 10 in free throw prevention, with a top-five defensive rebound rate of more than 75 percent.

Why the Nets can cover

Brooklyn’s offense is elite, and the Nets have a favorable matchup against New Orleans. The Pelicans rank in the bottom five of the NBA in overall defensive efficiency, and they are also a bottom-five team in limiting opponent shooting efficiency this season. The Nets lead the NBA in several offensive categories, headlined by overall efficiency (117.2 points per 100 possessions), and they are generally impossible to defend. Brooklyn also avoids turnovers at a strong rate of only 13.4 percent, limiting the potential of the Pelicans in transition. 

On the defensive side, the Nets aren’t quite as potent, but they land above the league average in free throw prevention rate and opponent shooting efficiency. Brooklyn is also quite deep after exploiting the buyout market, giving Steve Nash a number of lineup options to deploy.

How to make Nets vs. Pelicans picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 234 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pelicans vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 93-59 roll on NBA picks.

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