NBA

Pacers vs. Celtics odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Feb. 26 predictions from model on 85-49 roll

The Boston Celtics and the Indiana Pacers face off in a potential Eastern Conference playoff preview on Friday evening. The Celtics enter on a three-game losing streak after a blowout loss in Atlanta on Wednesday. After two postponements, the Pacers returned to action with a narrow loss to the Golden State Warriors in their last outing. Marcus Smart (calf) and Romeo Langford (wrist) are out for Boston, with TJ Warren (foot) and Caris LeVert (medical) out for Indiana.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Boston. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Celtics as three-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 219 in the latest Pacers vs. Celtics odds. Before you make any Celtics vs. Pacers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model also is up almost $8,700 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 10 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-49 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Pacers vs. Celtics. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Celtics vs. Pacers:

  • Pacers vs. Celtics spread: Celtics -3
  • Pacers vs. Celtics over-under: 219 points
  • Pacers vs. Celtics money line: Celtics -160, Pacers +140
  • IND: The Pacers are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • BOS: The Celtics are 3-7 against the spread in the last 10 games

Latest Odds:

Boston Celtics
-3

Why the Pacers can cover

Indiana is led by an intriguing trio of high-end players in Malcolm Brogdon, Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner. Brogdon leads the team with 21.7 points per game and provides a steady hand on the perimeter. Sabonis averages 21.5 points, 11.7 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game, acting as an offensive hub. Turner is leading the league in blocked shots (3.4 per game) and provides both rim protection and floor spacing. 

That strong baseline, combined with a well-rounded supporting cast, should help the Pacers, and Boston has a few weaknesses to exploit. The Celtics are a bottom-five team in both assist rate (54.0 percent) and assist-to-turnover ratio (1.56) offensively, and Boston is a below-average shooting team this season. Defensively, Boston is sixth-worst in the league at keeping opponents off the free throw line, opening a potential avenue for success for Indiana.

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston is an above-average offensive team, scoring 111.5 points per 100 possessions. One big reason for that success is the presence of a pair of dynamic shot creators in Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, and both average more than 25 points per game on strong efficiency. The Celtics are also a top-five offensive rebounding team, securing 29.4 percent of their own missed shots offensively. 

Boston could create free throw attempts at a high rate in this matchup, as the Pacers are a below-average team in free throw rate on both ends of the floor. Indiana also struggles as an offensive rebounding team, and Boston is a top-10 group in creating turnovers, forcing a giveaway on 14.7 percent of possessions. The Celtics, in general, excel at creating steals (8.2 per game), and they limit transition well, giving up only 12.0 fast break points per game this season.

How to make Celtics vs. Pacers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting both teams combine for 221 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pacers vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.



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