Nuggets vs. Warriors odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, April 23 predictions from model on 96-60 roll

The Denver Nuggets have a chance to avenge a loss and erase a bitter memory when they visit the Golden State Warriors on Friday night. The Nuggets (38-20) return to Golden State 11 days after absorbing a painful 116-107 setback in which high-scoring point guard Jamal Murray was lost for the season due to a torn ACL. Denver not only has withstood the injury to Murray but has ripped off four straight wins entering the rematch with Stephen Curry and the Warriors (29-30), who are one game out of eighth place in the Western Conference following a 3-2 road trip.

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET at the Chase Center. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Nuggets as two-point favorites, while the over-under for total points scored is 228 in the latest Nuggets vs. Warriors odds. Before you make any Warriors vs. Nuggets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned over $9,200 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,200 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 18 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 96-60 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Warriors vs. Nuggets:

  • Nuggets vs. Warriors spread: Nuggets -2
  • Nuggets vs. Warriors over-under: 228 points
  • Nuggets vs. Warriors: Nuggets -130, Warriors +110
  • DEN: The Nuggets are 5-7 vs. Pacific Division teams
  • GS: Warriors F Damion Lee (COVID-19) will be out 10-14 days

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets

Why the Nuggets can cover

Nikola Jokic continues to be touted as a front-runner for MVP honors and the 7-footer is doing nothing to quiet the talk. He had a streak of six consecutive double-doubles halted in Wednesday’s win at Portland, which included 27 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists against Golden State. Jokic had 47 points and 15 rebounds, including a go-ahead 3-pointer in the second overtime of Monday’s win over Memphis, before hitting three late free throws to put away the Trail Blazers.

In 58 games this season, Jokic has registered 15 triple-doubles and an NBA-leading 51 double-doubles. Third-leading scorer Michael Porter Jr. (17.6 points per game) had a streak of six consecutive 20-point games halted at Portland, but he has four double-doubles over his last eight contests and just missed another with 24 points and nine boards against the Warriors. Guard Will Barton is averaging 18.0 points over the last three games.  

Why the Warriors can cover

Curry gives Golden State more than a puncher’s chance against any opponent, especially in light of the most productive stretch of his brilliant career. The two-time MVP had scored at least 30 points in 11 consecutive games, a streak that finally came to an end when he was limited to 18 in Wednesday’s four-point setback at Washington. During the sizzling 11-game stretch, Curry averaged 40.0 points, while shooting 54.1 percent overall and 49.7 percent from 3-point range.

Curry lit up the Nuggets for 53 points on April 12, shooting 14-of-24 overall and hitting 10-of-18 from behind the arc. Second-leading scorer Andrew Wiggins (18.0 points per game) scored 17 in the previous matchup against Denver and had a pair of 20-point efforts during the five-game road trip. Kent Bazemore, a recent addition to the starting unit, added 14 points vs. the Nuggets and is coming off a 19-point game at Washington.

How to make Warriors vs. Nuggets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 232 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.

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