NBA

Nets vs. Celtics odds, line, spread: 2020 Christmas Day NBA picks, predictions from model on 61-33 roll

In the third of five games on the NBA Christmas Day 2020 schedule, the Eastern Conference and, more specifically, the Atlantic Division, takes center stage. The Boston Celtics welcome the Brooklyn Nets to TD Garden for a matinee battle that could be a playoff preview. Both teams are 1-0 so far in 2020-21, with the Celtics edging out the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. The Nets exploded in a dominant win over the Golden State Warriors as part of the league’s opening night double-header.

Tip-off is 5 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Brooklyn as a three-point road favorite, up two points from the opening line. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 227 in the latest Nets vs. Celtics odds. Before making Celtics vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Last year, it went a stunning 61-33 on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Celtics. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Celtics vs. Nets:

  • Nets vs. Celtics spread: Nets -3
  • Nets vs. Celtics over-under: 227 points
  • Nets vs. Celtics money line: Nets -150, Celtics +130
  • BKLN: The Nets were 6-14 against the spread in division games last season
  • BOS: The Celtics were 16-10 against the spread in division games last season

Latest Odds:

Boston Celtics
+3

Why the Celtics can cover

While one game doesn’t always tell the full story, the Celtics played quite well in the season opener, especially offensively. Boston was also a top-five offense on a per-possessions basis last season, ranking sixth in the NBA in turnover rate (13.6 percent) and fifth in the NBA in offensive rebound rate (27.1). Jayson Tatum, who scored 30 points in the opener, averaged 23.4 points and 7.0 rebounds per game, making the leap to superstardom. 

Jaylen Brown exploded for 33 points against Milwaukee, following up on a season in which he averaged 20.3 points and 6.4 rebounds per contest. Defensively, Boston will have its hands full with a dynamic Brooklyn offense, but the Celtics were fourth in the NBA in shooting efficiency allowed and sixth in the league in defensive turnover rate in 2019-20.

Why the Nets can cover 

Brooklyn projects as an elite offensive team, and that was on display in the team’s first contest against the Warriors. In addition to a combined 48 points in 50 minutes from Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, the Nets produced a 58.9 percent true shooting mark that included 15-of-35 from 3-point range. Durant missed the entire 2019-20 season with an Achilles injury but, in 2018-19, he averaged 26.0 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game, and he is a proven offensive force when healthy. 

Irving was electric in 20 games last season, putting up 27.4 points, 6.4 assists and 5.2 rebounds per game, and the Nets have great offensive pieces in support, headlined by Joe Harris, Spencer Dinwiddie and Caris LeVert. 

The Celtics are a quality defensive team but, in 2019-20, Boston was below-average on the defensive glass, allowing opponents to grab 25.6 percent of their own rebounds. Considering Brooklyn was a top-10 offensive rebounding team in its own right, that is an area of potential interest for the Nets. For good measure, the Nets should be able to get to the free throw line, with the Celtics operating as a bottom-10 team in free throw rate allowed last season.

How to make Celtics vs. Nets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with Tatum and Irving projected to land short of their scoring performances from the season opener. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nets vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Celtics vs. Nets spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.



 

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