NBA

Lakers vs. Nets odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Feb. 18 predictions from model on 83-48 roll

The Brooklyn Nets take on the Los Angeles Lakers in a highly-anticipated matchup on Thursday evening. It is the first meeting between these NBA title contenders this season. Brooklyn (18-12) enters on a four-game winning streak, with Los Angeles (22-7) winning eight of its last nine contests. Kevin Durant (ankle) is out for Brooklyn and Anthony Davis (calf) is out for Los Angeles. Kyrie Irving (back) is probable for the Nets and LeBron James (ankle) is probable for the Lakers.

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. William Hill Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as the 2.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 234 in the latest Lakers vs. Nets odds. Before locking in any Nets vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up more than $8,400 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 9 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 83-48 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Nets. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Nets vs. Lakers:

  • Nets vs. Lakers spread: Lakers -2.5
  • Nets vs. Lakers over-under: 234 points
  • Nets vs. Lakers money line: Lakers -140; Nets +120
  • BKL: The Nets are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • LAL: The Lakers are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games

Latest Odds:

Los Angeles Lakers
-2.5

Why the Nets can cover

The Nets are almost unguardable on the offensive end. Brooklyn is the third-best offense on a per-possession basis this season, scoring nearly 1.18 points every time they have the ball. Since adding James Harden in mid-January, though, the Nets have been the No. 1 offense in the league, scoring 120.9 points per 100 possessions. Brooklyn leads the NBA in true shooting percentage (62.4 percent) and effective field goal percentage (58.8 percent) with a stellar combination of shot creation and floor spacing. 

The Nets are also a top-10 team in generating free throw attempts, and they limit their opponents from getting to the line at the seventh-best rate in the league. While Los Angeles has few weaknesses, one is ball security, as the Lakers turn the ball over on 15.1 percent of possessions. That could provide fuel for Brooklyn’s devastating transition offense.

Why the Lakers can cover

The reigning champions are tremendous on both ends, but they are No. 1 in the league on defense. The Lakers are allowing only 105.2 points per 100 possessions, easily lapping the rest of the NBA, and Los Angeles also leads the league in blocked shots (6.1 per game). Frank Vogel’s team is No. 4 in effective field goal percentage allowed (51.2 percent) and No. 2 in free throw rate allowed, with a top-10 defensive rebounding rate to boot. 

Offensively, James leads a potent attack that scores more than 1.12 points per possession, with top-eight marks in free throw creation and shooting efficiency. The Lakers should also benefit from a shaky Nets defense that is a bottom-unit overall and one of the worst teams in the league in creating havoc, forcing a turnover on only 12.0 percent of possessions in 2020-21.

How to make Nets vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting both teams combine for 232 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nets vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.



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