2021 NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Wizards odds, picks, play-in tournament predictions from model on 99-66 roll

The No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs is up for grabs when the Indiana Pacers pay a visit to the Washington Wizards in a play-in tournament matchup on Thursday. Although the teams finished the regular season with identical 34-38 records, the comparisons ended there as the Wizards finished a perfect 3-0 against Indiana and averaged a whopping 139.7 points in those three victories. The Pacers looked like the better team in Tuesday’s first round of the play-in by overwhelming Charlotte to earn another crack at Washington, which suffered an 18-point loss to No. 7 seed Boston.

Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET from Capital One Arena. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Wizards as 3.5-point favorites, while the over-under for total points scored is 237.5 in the latest Pacers vs. Wizards odds. Before you make any Wizards vs. Pacers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the 2020-21 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Pacers vs. Wizards. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Wizards vs. Pacers:

  • Pacers vs. Wizards spread: Wizards -3.5
  • Pacers vs. Wizards over-under: 237.5 points
  • Pacers vs. Wizards money line: Wizards -165, Pacers +145
  • IND: The Pacers are 6-1-1 against the spread in the last eight games
  • WAS: The Wizards are 9-3 against the spread in the last 12 games

Featured Game | Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers

Why the Pacers can cover

Domantas Sabonis was among eight players to score in double figures in Tuesday’s win vs. Charlotte, coming one assist shy of registering a triple-double. The 6-foot-11 center feasted on the Wizards this season, nearly averaging a triple-double with 32.3 points, 14.3 rebounds and 9.3 assists. He had 32 points, 19 rebounds and nine assists in the May 3 matchup and followed it up five days later with 30 points, 13 boards and 13 assists.

Indiana is still without high-scoring guard Caris LeVert (health and safety protocols), but Malcolm Brogdon returned to the lineup after a three-week absence and had 16 points and eight assists in Tuesday’s win. Brogdon, who averaged 21.2 points during the regular season, is listed as questionable due to a hamstring injury. Doug McDermott has come on strong over the past five games, averaging 19.4 points and knocking down 16 3-pointers.

Why the Wizards can cover

Because Washington finished the regular season by winning 15 of its final 20 games, and the five losses came by a combined 10 points, the team is chalking up Tuesday’s lackluster loss to Boston as an aberration. The high-powered backcourt of Bradley Beal and Russell Westbrook combined for 42 points, but they shot a combined 16-of-43 from the floor. The Wizards should improve on their 3-point woes from Tuesday, when they connected on only 3-of-21 attempts.

Beal is hampered by a hamstring injury suffered in a 50-point eruption against Indiana on May 8, but he scored 20 of his 25 points in the second half of the regular-season finale against Charlotte. While Westbrook posted a double-double with 20 points and 14 rebounds against the Celtics, that paled in comparison to his staggering numbers against Indiana this season. In three matchups vs. the Pacers, he averaged 27.3 points, 20.0 assists and 18.0 rebounds.

How to make Wizards vs. Pacers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 250 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pacers vs. Wizards? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.

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