2021 NBA Playoffs: Mavericks vs. Clippers odds, line, picks, Game 7 predictions from model on 100-66 roll

Home-court advantage is typically a major factor in a Game 7 of any series but that may not be the case when the Los Angeles Clippers square off with the visiting Dallas Mavericks in a winner-takes-all matchup on Sunday afternoon. For the first time in NBA history, the road team has won each of the first six games of a playoff series, a trend that continued when the Clippers staved off elimination with a 104-97 victory in Game 6 on Friday night behind a spectacular performance from Kawhi Leonard. Sunday’s winner advances to the second round to play the top-seeded Utah Jazz.

Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Clippers as 6.5-point favorites, while the over-under for total points scored is 211 in the latest Mavericks vs. Clippers odds. Before you make any Clippers vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the second full week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Clippers in the NBA Playoffs 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Clippers vs. Mavericks:

  • Mavericks vs. Clippers spread: Clippers -6.5
  • Mavericks vs. Clippers over-under: 211 points
  • Mavericks vs. Clippers money line: Clippers -270, Mavericks +230
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • LAC: The Clippers are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Mavericks can cover

Despite dealing with a painful neck injury sustained in Game 3, Doncic is averaging 34.0 points, 9.7 assists and 8.0 rebounds in the series and came up a point shy of reaching 30 for the fifth time in the series Friday night. Doncic may have to deal with a pain in the neck of a different sort as he struggled when defended by Leonard in Game 6. In the three games at Staples Center, Doncic is averaging 37.3 points and shooting 16-of-36 from behind the arc.

Tim Hardaway Jr. scored 23 points on Friday for his fourth 20-point game of the series, but the Mavericks need to find another offensive option. Kristaps Porzingis averaged 20.1 points during the regular season and scored 34 points in the first two games of the series before taking a dramatic offensive dip. The former No. 4 overall pick has been held under double digits in three of the past four games and attempted a combined 13 shots in the last two.

Why the Clippers can cover

Los Angeles leveled the series Friday behind the trio of Leonard, Paul George and Reggie Jackson, who combined to score 90 of the team’s 104 points. Leonard, who led both the San Antonio Spurs (2014) and Toronto Raptors (2019) to NBA titles, earning MVP honors both times, matched his career playoff best with 45 points. He joined Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as the only players to average 30 points and shoot 60 percent in the first six games of a postseason.

Forward Marcus Morris was held to four points for the second time in the series Friday, but Jackson picked up the slack by scoring 25 points and hitting at least three 3-pointers for the fifth consecutive game. Jackson was limited to two points in the series opener, but he is averaging 18.2 points over the last five games. George has scored at least 20 points in every game and has been stellar on the glass with three games of double-digit rebounds.

How to make Clippers vs. Mavericks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 223 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.

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