2021 NBA Finals: Suns vs. Bucks odds, line, picks, Game 3 predictions from proven simulation on 100-66 roll

After two games in Phoenix, the 2021 NBA Finals shift to Milwaukee on Sunday evening. The Suns, leading 2-0, take on the Bucks in Game 3 in front of a national audience in prime time. Phoenix made 20 3-pointers in Game 2, securing a dominant edge in the series. Milwaukee will look to bounce back with its first home game in the best-of-seven clash.

Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. William Hill Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a four-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 222 in the latest Bucks vs. Suns odds. Before making any Suns vs. Bucks picks or NBA Finals 2021 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $700 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the 2021 NBA Finals on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in its Bucks vs. Suns picks and predictions for Game 3 of the NBA Finals 2021. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Bucks:

  • Suns vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -4
  • Suns vs. Bucks over-under: 222 points
  • Suns vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -175, Suns +155
  • PHX: The Suns are 6-1 against the spread in the last seven road games
  • MIL: The Bucks are 6-3 against the spread in the last nine home games

Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Suns

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix’s offense is tremendous in every facet. The Suns are scoring almost 1.2 points per possession in the first two games of the finals, and more than 1.14 points per possession during their extended 2021 NBA Playoffs run. Phoenix has been shooting well all over the court, including a 58.6 percent true shooting mark in the postseason, and the Suns are connecting on 41.9 percent of their 3-pointers in the series. At the free-throw line, the Suns are also incredibly potent, as they currently have the highest free-throw percentage (86.9 percent) in NBA postseason history. 

Phoenix also does a fantastic job at avoiding mistakes, turning the ball over on only 11.2 percent of offensive possessions in the series and generating 2.11 assists for every turnover during the playoffs. The Suns are not a dynamic offensive rebounding team, but they are grabbing more than one-fourth of their missed shots against the Bucks, including a few back-breaking second-chance opportunities in Game 2. Finally, Phoenix is generating a higher free-throw rate than Milwaukee through two games, which adds to their overall efficiency on the offensive side of the floor.

Why the Bucks can cover

A return to Fiserv Forum should work wonders for Milwaukee. The Bucks are 33-11 in their home building this season, including a 7-1 mark during the NBA Playoffs 2021. In addition, Milwaukee has clear advantages on both ends of the floor. The Bucks are grabbing more than 30 percent of their own missed shots on the offensive glass in the playoffs, and they are the bigger, more physical team. Milwaukee is also protecting the ball with only an 11.8 percent turnover rate against Phoenix, and they are averaging 17 fast-break points per game. 

Defensively, the Bucks lead the entire NBA Playoffs in overall efficiency, giving up only 106.6 points per 100 possessions through three-plus series. The Suns are scoring only 36 points in the paint per game through two contests, and the Bucks are grabbing a whopping 76 percent of available defensive rebounds during their playoff run. Finally, Giannis Antetokounmpo is looking like himself after a spectacular Game 2 performance, and that unlocks things on both ends for Mike Budenholzer’s team.

How to make Bucks vs. Suns picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with the team combining for 215 points in the simulations. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get this pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs Suns? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Suns vs Bucks spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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