Red Sox vs. Rays odds, line: 2021 MLB picks, Sunday Night Baseball predictions for August 1 from top model

The Tampa Bay Rays go for the three-game sweep when they take on the Boston Red Sox in a key American League East Division matchup on Sunday Night Baseball. The Rays (63-42) moved into first place on Saturday with a 9-5 win over Boston. The Red Sox (63-43), second in the division, have lost four of their last five games. Boston finished the month of July by going 13-12, while Tampa Bay was 16-8.

First pitch is set for 7:08 p.m. ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. The Red Sox lead the all-time series 234-187, including a 110-104 edge in games played at Tampa Bay. The Rays are a -160 favorite on the money line in the latest Red Sox vs. Rays odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 8.5. Before making any Rays vs. Red Sox picks, check out the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, is a profitable 132-109 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 17 weeks in the 2021 season. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in its Red Sox vs. Rays picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see its MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds today and betting trends for Rays vs. Red Sox:

  • Red Sox vs. Rays money line: Boston +150, Tampa Bay -160
  • Red Sox vs. Rays run line: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+120)
  • Red Sox vs. Rays over-under: 8.5 runs
  • BOS: The Red Sox are 14-5 in their last 19 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • TB: The Rays are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning record

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Why you should back the Rays

Tampa Bay is expected to send left-hander Shane McClanahan (4-4, 3.93 ERA) to the mound to make his 16th start of the season. He lost 4-3 to the New York Yankees in his last appearance, giving up three earned runs on nine hits in six innings. He walked three and struck out six. This will be the first start of his career against Boston.

Shortstop Wander Franco has been red hot this series, going 4-for-8 with a double, two triples and four RBIs. He has hit safely in five of his last six games. For the year, he is hitting just .239 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 16 runs scored, but has a .402 slugging percentage. In five games against Boston this year, he is batting .316 with two doubles, two triples, one home run and seven RBIs. He has also walked three times and stole one base.

Why you should back the Red Sox

Boston will counter by starting right-hander Nick Pivetta (8-4, 4.51 ERA), who will be making his 21st start of the year. Pivetta has won two of his last three decisions, but is coming off a no-decision against Toronto on Monday. In that game, he allowed four earned runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings. He has faced Tampa Bay twice this year, picking up a win on April 5 and a no-decision on June 24. In 11 2/3 innings against the Rays this year, he has been lights out, allowing zero runs on two hits, walking six and striking out 12.

Third baseman Rafael Devers continues to hit the ball well, batting .286 with 27 homers, 82 RBIs and 68 runs scored. He enters Sunday’s showdown having recorded seven hits in his last five outings. In seven games against Tampa Bay this season, Devers has five hits, four runs scored and two RBIs. 

How to make Rays vs. Red Sox picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, as the simulations project both teams combine for 10 runs. The model also says one side of the money line has the value. You can only get that Sunday Night Baseball pick at SportsLine

So who wins Red Sox vs. Rays? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rays vs. Red Sox spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its MLB picks in 2021

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